Sektor Hartanah Dah Dok Sejuk, Tunggu Apa Lagi Turunkan Harga Kalau Nak Survive

tekoyong

blastoff posted on 1-10-2014 03:55 PM
Krisis ekonomi di china bakal memberi worldwide impak laa, dengan keadaan sekarang di mana kerajaan  ...

best flow perbincangan bro ni

mula2 skop cuma nak salahkan pemaju, pastu negeri selangor, pastu kerajaaan malaysia, apstu bank, pastu china, pastu global..

baru-baru ni india dah hantar roket ke mars dengan perbelanjaan 75 juta USD jah

mungkin saudara blastoff boleh kaitkan dengan planet marikh pula

blastoff

tekoyong posted on 1-10-2014 03:53 PM
aku rasa sejak dari dulu lagi berita pasal kejatuhan ekonomi china ni disebarkan

sebelum olimpi ...

Kau lontarkan idea tak bersandarkan info apa pun . Yang kau mampu buat adalah deny deny deny , kau cakap kosong macam borak kat kedai kopi .  Walau di beri bukti BSN tawarkan subprime mortgages pun kau masih nak berdalih jugak, nampak sangat kau dah sampai peringkat denial .

tekoyong

blastoff posted on 1-10-2014 04:02 PM
Kau lontarkan idea tak bersandarkan info apa pun . Yang kau mampu buat adalah deny deny deny , kau ...

ooo.. bagi ko, ko dah copy paste artikel tu kira dah tahap muliawan sngat dah ke??

aku pon boleh je tepek, zaman ni zaman google la bro

tapi apa yang aku sampaikan tak perlu disandarkan pada artikel pun, sebab ianya fakta umum yang bisa diterima kerana obvious reasons

pasal BSN tu, memang pon itu cuma minimum requirement, mana ada bank nak bagi sesukahati pinjam je broooo

ko punya formula RM120k x berjuta orang yang tak layak

adeh, buat lawak la ko ni

blastoff

cmf_acura posted on 1-10-2014 03:32 PM
elok juga kena...biar kapatalis2 ni mampus....nak sangat keuntungan berganda2

Dia penyokong kuat kapitalist berdesing telinga dia di buatnya tengok kau sebut "mampus"   ... lagi meroyan jadinya.

tekoyong

kahkahkah

lawak sungguh dengar bila orang yang tak cukup ilmu ni anti sangat dengan kapitalis

padahal sistem capitalism dan socialism ni saling bergantung antara satu sama lain

tu la, banyak sangat baca majalah mastika

tekoyong

blastoff posted on 1-10-2014 04:09 PM
Dia penyokong kuat kapitalist  berdesing telinga dia di buatnya tengok kau sebut "mampus"   ...

aku gelak je dekat orang yang anti capitalism ni

nampak sangat bebal

cmf_acura

aku ambil jalan tengah....isstem islam...
tapi kena ada laa ros ialammya..bukannya sistem islam yang di sabur dengan sistem kapatalis...
bermakna sektor koperat dan kerajaan, GLC bukan menya memikirkan pasal keuntungan semata tapi ketungan kepada sistem soal juga supaya agihan pendapatan sama rata san semua sangat merasa....

Syarikat untung..dan pada masa yang sama kebajikan pekerja diambilkira...bukannya menjadikan pekerja hanba yang diterah untuk mendapatkan keuntungan maksimum.

Disamping itu kebajikan masyarakat perlu diambil kira....bukan hanya buat kebajikan untuk mengelakan cukai...

abas8888

best discussion di sini..byk dapat ilmu..byk rujukan diberikan..tq...

tekoyong

cmf_acura posted on 1-10-2014 04:36 PM
aku ambil jalan tengah....isstem islam...
tapi kena ada laa ros ialammya..bukannya sistem islam yan ...

ceh, macam gud-gud lettew cakap pasal Islam

Islam mana ada sistem ekonomi yang khusus (sebab tu la bila adanya negara islam, bank islam, pusat urut islam semua tu hanyalah mengarut)

kalau kapitalis yang mengikut acuan islam (tak menipu pelanggan, tak tamak haloba etc) maka sistem ekonomi islam la tu

kalau sosialis yang ikut acuan islam (tak tipu MC, tak tipu gaji untuk BR1M) maka sistem Islam le tu

jadi tak salah pun kalau jadi sosialis ka kapitalis ka, asalkan ikut acuan islam

yang meracau sangat salahkan kapitalis dah kenapa??

tekoyong

adik-adik kena tahu, nabi muhammad itu sendiri seorang kapitalis

oh, kapitalis tu bukannya orang jahat dik, majalah mastika je yang labelkan kapitalis tu jahat

malah Islam la agama yang paling condong ke sistem kapitalis

sebenarnya yang sumbangkan ekonomi negara, yang bagi cukai untuk biayai perubatan, subsidi bagai tu pihak kapitalis le

adik2 kena baca lebih ni

ini buku yang abang rekomen

Early Islam and the Birth of Capitalism
http://www.amazon.com/Early-Isla ... =islamic+capitalism

tekoyong

tak perlu kot huraikan panjang lebar pasal kapitalis dalam thread ni, nanti offtopic

kalau nak, bikin satu thread baru, nanti abang sekolahkan adik-adik kat sana k?

blastoff

Lihat 4 artikel di bawah ni untuk mengetahui chain reaction yang terjadi bermula dari ekonomi yang slow, kepada krisis mortgage hingga ke krisis ekonomi yang sekarang ni di lalui oleh negara china.

Bulan Jan 2014 Majalah Time melaporkan ekonomi china dah mula slow.

Februari 2014 , Bloomberg news melaporkan bad loans yang di miliki oleh bank2 di china telah sampai ke peringkat tertinggi mengatasi bad loans yang di alami US ketika krisis ekonomi pada tahun 2008 dulu tu.

Kejatuhan harga hartanah di China bermula pada bulan april hingga sekarang ni, tak henti2 .

Pada bulan Sept Businessinsider melaporkan FDI dan untung industri china menjunam teruk .

Jadi negara china sekarang ni dah terbukti sedang mengalami krisis ekonomi yang dahsyat. Mungkinkah kerana itu berlakunya demo dan protest sekarang ni di Hongkong di sebabkan yang paling dekat akan merasa kesannya paling cepat ?


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China’s Economy Is Slowing, and We Should All Be Thankful        

And don't expect a pickup anytime soon

                                By Michael Schuman / Beijing @MichaelSchuman
Jan. 20, 2014
Few statistics are more closely watched by policymakers, economists and businessmen from New York to Tokyo than China’s economic growth rate. What happens in the world’s second largest economy, after all, influences the market for everything from iron ore to automobiles to Prada bags, and companies from General Motors to Starbucks are counting on China to generate more and more of their future profits.
That’s why Monday’s announcement of yet another lackluster economic performance struck investors hard. China’s GDP grew 7.7% in 2013, roughly matching the pace in 2012. To Western eyes, where growth of 2% is considered an achievement these days, China’s numbers may still inspire awe and envy. But consider that China has routinely topped 10% growth a year since the 1980s. The recent patch of growth is the slowest the nation has experienced since the late 1990s. On the surface, that may appear a bad thing. China’s steady growth through the Great Recession helped prevent the entire global economy from slipping into an even more destructive downturn.
But in fact, we should all welcome a slower China. The fact is that the economy was starting to resemble a breakaway train, chugging toward that unfinished bridge just over the horizon. Debt has been piling up to dangerous levels, industry is burdened by excess capacity, and the financial sector has been taking on bigger risks as a result. The country’s growth model, led by heavy doses of investment in stuff like factories, roads and buildings, has begun to run out of steam, able to produce eye-popping growth rates only with greater and greater infusions of credit. Fears have been mounting that China could suffer a financial crisis like the one that tanked Wall Street in 2008. That would threaten the stability of the entire global economy.
China has to slow down — for its own good, and ours. To his immense credit, President Xi Jinping and his team have realized this. He has resisted the temptation to use the machinery of the state to pump up growth, as his predecessors had done. Instead, Xi has embarked on a renewed, forward-looking effort to liberalize China’s economy. In a bold reform package unveiled in November, Xi has committed the government to opening up financial markets, improving the management of inefficient state-owned enterprises and expanding the power of the private sector. If he holds to his promises, the Chinese economy could emerge (over time) healthier and more market-driven, which would lay the foundation for further growth.
Yet in the near to medium term, China’s growth rates are likely to remain muted. Xi’s reforms will cause a drastic change in the way the economy works, ­forcing the state’s banks and enterprises to become more commercially oriented and contend with greater competition. The economy will also undergo a process of “rebalancing,” ­reducing its reliance on investment for growth and shifting to a more consumption-driven model. All of this could cause a slowdown in growth. And if Xi fails to reform quickly or deeply enough, China’s current growth system will continue to sputter.
Either way, the 10% growth that was once considered the norm now looks like a relic of the past. The International Monetary Fund expects GDP growth to slow further in 2014, to 7.3%. Rarely has bad news sounded so good.

http://world.time.com/2014/01/20 ... ld-all-be-thankful/
                        


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China Banks’ Bad Loans Reach Highest Since Financial Crisis

By Bloomberg News

Feb 14, 2014 3:20 PM GMT+0800

Banks’ bad loan ratio may climb to 1.2 percent this year, Lian Ping, chief economist at...Read More


Chinese banks’ bad loans increased for the ninth straight quarter to the highest level since the2008 financial crisis, highlighting pressures on asset qualityand profit growth as the world’s second-largest economy slows.

Non performing loan rose by 28.5 billion yuan (  $4.7billion) in the last quarter of 2013 to 592.1 billion yuan, the highest since September 2008, the China Banking Regulatory Commission said in a statement on its website yesterday. Badloans accounted for 1 percent of total lending, up from 0.97percent three months earlier.
Chinese banks are struggling to keep soured loans in check and extend earnings growth as the slowing economy and government efforts to curb shadow financing make it harder for borrowers to repay debt. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services said this week that loan quality will decline in 2014 as banks remain at riskfrom debt-laden local government financing vehicles and manufacturers with too much capacity.
“China’s economic growth turned downward with the newleadership switching policy focus to reform and risk management from emphasizing stable expansion,” said Wang Yichuan, a Wuhan-based analyst at Changjiang Securities Co. “Naturally the badloans will increase along with the change. We expect thedeterioration to continue for two more years.”
Crisis Concern Chinese banks added 89 trillion yuan of assets, mostlythrough loans, in the past five years, equivalent to the entire U.S. banking industry’s, CBRC data show. By comparison, U.S.commercial banks held $14.6 trillion of assets at the end ofSeptember, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.
Investors are increasingly concerned that China’s investment through borrowing since 2008 may trigger a financialcrisis, Haitong Securities Co. said in December. Liabilities atnonfinancial companies may increase to more than 150 percent ofgross domestic product in 2014, raising default risks, thebrokerage said. The ratio of 139 percent at the end of 2012 was already the highest among the world’s 10 biggest economies.
China’s economy grew 7.7 percent in 2013, the same rate asin 2012. Growth is forecast to drop to 7.4 percent this year,the weakest pace since 1990, based on the median estimate in aBloomberg News survey.
The country averted its first trust default in at least adecade last month as investors in a 3 billion-yuan high-yieldtrust product issued by China Credit Trust Co. and distributedby [url=http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/601398H]Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. (60139 8  )[/url] were bailed outdays before it matured.
Jilin Trust A 973 million-yuan product issued by Jilin Province TrustCo. missed four batches of payments since November as the borrower is going through a restructuring, Shanghai Securities News reported this week. The borrower, Shanxi Liansheng EnergyCo., the biggest private coal miner in the northern province,owed six trusts more than 4 billion yuan, Haitong Securities analyst Jiang Chao said in a Jan. 9 note.
Chinese’s biggest banks already tripled the amount of badloans written off in the first half, cleaning up their booksahead of a potential fresh wave of defaults. Banks’ bad loan ratio may climb to 1.2 percent this year, Lian Ping, chief economist at Shanghai-based Bank of Communications Co., said onFeb. 11.
The government has spent more than $650 billion bailing outbanks by carving out bad loans and injecting capital since the late 1990s, after years of government-directed lending causeddefault risk to balloon. In October 2008, it removed about 800billion yuan of non-performing loans from [url=http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/601288H]Agricultural Bank ofChina Ltd. (60128 8  )[/url] ’s balance sheet, causing the industrywide bad-loan level to drop by more than half from 1.27 trillion yuan in justone quarter.
Combined net income at China’s banks rose 14 percent from ayear earlier to 1.4 trillion yuan in 2013, slowing from a 19 percent increase in 2012, according to CBRC data.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/20 ... nancial-crisis.html



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The Amount Of Investment Money Coming Into China Plunged In August

Sep. 16, 2014,  6:01 AM
BEIJING (Reuters) - China's foreign direct investment inflows in August fell to a low not seen in at least 2-1/2 years, underscoring the challenges to growth facing the world's second-biggest economy.
The weak investment data comes as China's economic growth appears to be hitting a soft patch after a bounce in June, with indicators ranging from imports to industrial output and investment all pointing to sluggish activity.
China attracted $7.2 billion in foreign direct investment in August, the Commerce Ministry said on Tuesday, down 14 percent from a year earlier and at a level not seen since February 2012.
That left China with $78.3 billion of FDI in the first eight months of 2014, down 1.8 percent from a year earlier.
FDI is an important gauge of the health of the external economy, to which China's vast factory sector is oriented, but it is a small contributor to overall capital flows compared with exports, which were worth about $2 trillion in 2013.
But even China's exports are at risk of slowing from uncertainties in global demand. China's trade ministry spokesman Shen Danyang said on Tuesday exports may not be able to sustain high growth in the months to come although the country's trade situation was stabilizing.
FDI inflows in China have maintained steady growth every year since the country joined the World Trade Organization in 2001. Inflows reached a record high of $118 billion in 2013.
In the first eight months of the year, China's services sector attracted $43.3 billion of FDI, up 8.9 percent from a year ago and faring much better than the manufacturing industry, where FDI dropped 15.7 percent from a year ago to $27.5 billion.
Among the 10 countries that are the biggest sources of China's FDI, investment from South Korea surged 31.3 percent on an annual basis and that from Britain leapt 18.9 percent.
In contrast, investment from Japan plunged 43.3 percent from a year earlier while FDI from the United States and European Union dropped between 17-18 percent each.
China's non-financial direct outbound investment rose 15.3 percent in the first eight months from a year earlier to $65.2 billion.


Read more:  http://www.businessinsider.com/r-china-august-fdi-falls-to-lowest-in-at-least-two-and-a-half-years-2014-9#ixzz3F204TleG


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Chinese Industrial Profits Fall In August

Sep. 27, 2014, 2:01 PM
SHANGHAI (Reuters) - China's industrial profits fell 0.6 percent in August from a year earlier, reversing from July's 13.5 percent annual rise, the government said on Saturday, the latest in a series of weak data from the world's second-largest economy.
Industrial companies made profits of 3.83 trillion yuan between January and August, 10 percent higher than the same period last year. China's National Bureau of Statistics did not give a reason for the August decline.
The monthly decline adds to recent weak figures that have fuelled fears that China is at risk of a sharp slowdown if it does not make fresh stimulus measures.
China's factory output grew at its weakest pace in nearly six years in August while growth in other key sectors such as retail sales and imports also cooled.
China's economy has had a difficult time this year as a slowdown in the housing market weighs on economy activity. This was further exacerbated by unsteady foreign demand which dragged on exports, factory output and domestic investment.

Read more:  http://www.businessinsider.com/r-china-industrial-profits-fall-in-august-in-latest-weak-data-2014-9#ixzz3F20aX9g0

blastoff

Kesan dari krisis ekonomi teruk yang di alami negara china sekarang ni telah menyebabkan banyak berlaku penurunan nilai dagangan export yang di alami oleh Malaysia , Indonesia dan Thailand kerana permintaan yang berkurangan dari negara china.






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PME exports from Indonesia, Malaysia fall 26% on month in September
Singapore (Platts)--

1Oct2014
/500 am EDT/900 GMT


Biodiesel exports from Malaysia and Indonesia totaled 85,900 mt in September, down 26.4% from exports of 116,735 mt in August, data released Wednesday, October 1, by cargo surveyor Intertek showed.

Indonesia exported 75,100 mt of palm methyl ester, or 16,400 mt less compared with August, while Malaysian producers shipped 5,800 mt of PME from Kuantan and 5,000 mt from Port Klang last month.

Overall, Malaysia's biodiesel exports in September were 57.2% lower compared to August, which was 25,235 mt.

China continued to be the main export destination for Indonesian and Malaysian biodiesel, but volumes in September fell by 28.8% month on month to 65,100 mt.

http://www.platts.com/latest-new ... fall-26-on-27686090






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Thailand reports poor Aug trade data, latest sign of economic woes

ByReuters

  Published:  10:22 GMT, 29 September 2014 |   Updated:  10:22 GMT, 29 September 2014

By Orathai Sriring
BANGKOK, Sept 29 (Reuters) - Thai exports unexpectedly fell the most in August since flooding in late 2011 paralysed the economy, putting pressure on the military government to speed upstimulus measures.

Exports - which are equal to more than 60 percent of the economy - dropped 7.4 percent from a year earlier, the Commerce Ministry said on Monday, compared with the forecast of a 3.6percent decline in a Reuters poll. In July, shipments slipped 0.85 percent from a year earlier.

Imports fell for a 14th straight month in August, and byfive times as much as the poll expected. They plunged 14.17percent from August 2013, compared with the forecasted 2.85 percent.

Many imported materials are assembled into completed products and shipped out again. So a slump in imports bodes ill for future shipments.
Monday's trade data was the latest confirmation that Thailand's pivotal engine of exports isn't not firing at all. And another one, consumption,  also remains weak,  which leavessome economists wondering what will generate growth.

Bernard Aw, economist with Forecast Pte in Singapore, said the decline in imports "has been across the board" and led by reduction in purchases of capital goods and raw materials.

The slowdown in domestic consumption was behind the weak purchases, he said, as the country suffered months of political unrest that led to a military coup in May.

Economists say that with economic pillars still wobbly, the military government needs to take more action to reviveSoutheast Asia's second-largest economy, which contracted in thefirst half.

"The most important thing right now is for the government tobe clear on their projects; what will be done, what timeline to follow," said Gundy Cahyadi, an economist with DBS Bank inSingapore. "Still, the recovery in consumption will take time."

NEW MEASURES COMING?

Cabinet ministers have said the government is planningfurther measures, some of which are expected to come out thisweek.
Kritsada Jinavijarana, the head of the Finance Ministry's fiscal policy office, said on Monday the measures will include aspeeding up government disbursements to boost growth, though he added "that's not to inject new money but to make the most of the existing ones."
He said there was more than 100 billion baht ($3 billion) left from previous years that could be spent.

Kritsada also said he expects the economy to grow at least1.6 percent this year but saw exports expanding less than 1percent, rather than a previous forecast of 1.5 percent..

On Friday, the Bank of Thailand slashed its 2014 export growth forecast to zero from 3 percent. Despite no export rise,the central bank maintained its forecast that the economy willgrow 1.5 percent this year, as long as the government boosts spending.

On Monday, the Commerce Ministry said it now hopes 2014export growth of 0.5-1.0 percent, instead of its earlier 3.5 percent. In the first eight months of 2014, exports have fallen1.36 percent from a year earlier.

The ministry said key factors for the August export drop were weaker gold and oil exports due to a high base effect, and lower commodity prices, especially for rubber.

"It looks like the recovery is a lot slower than we expected," said Kampon Adireksombat, a senior economist withTisco Securities.
Exports to the United States slipped 0.3 percent in Augustfrom a year earlier (from +4.5 percent in July), while those to Europe were down 5.4 percent (+7.3 percent in July) and Japanoff 7.6 percent (+3.3 percent).

Shipments to China plunged 14.4 percent in August, compared with a fall of 1.7 percent a month earlier and ones to Sout heast Asian countries were flat (-5.2 percent in July).

Thailand avoided a technical recession by having slighton-quarter growth in April-June after a contraction of 1.9 percent in the first three months of 2014.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/reuters/article-2773239/Thai-Aug-exports-surprisingly-fall-7-4-pct-y-y-imports-14-2-pct.html#ixzz3F2dv3xbZ
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

blastoff

Singapore jugak tidak terkecuali akan merasa impak krisis ekonomi china , ada penganalisa yang membuat kesimpulan bahwa singapore will suffer the most .




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Slowing China economy would hit Singapore the worst, says BNP study  
   
                PUBLISHED : Monday, 14 July, 2014, 3:09am
UPDATED : Monday, 14 July, 2014, 6:27am
  
Nick Edwards nick.edwards@scmp.com

Singapore would fare worst with as many as 1.6 percentage points cut from GDP growth.                                           
Regardless of whether China is the biggest economy in the world, it is of growing significance to the rest of Asia as a potential source of economic shocks.
The old market maxim that when the United States sneezes, the world catches a cold is increasingly being rephrased.
And with good reason, after many investors were left shaken by a first-quarter report that revealed Chinese gross domestic product growth at its weakest annualised rate since the global financial crisis and on course for its weakest year of expansion since 1990.
Economists at BNP Paribas crunched the data immediately after April's surprise, going back 20 years to quantify the impact of a one percentage point fall in Chinese economic output on the rest of Asia, excluding Japan, over the following year.
"China's slowing economy is raising concern about potential spillover effects beyond its shores, particularly on the rest of Asia through the trade, financial and commodity channels," they wrote in a note. "Economies with high trade exposure to Chinese final demand and commodity-producing countries are … more likely to catch a cold when China sneezes."
The BNP Paribas team found on average that 0.7 percentage point was shaved from growth elsewhere, but with wide variation related to trade dependency.
All of the nine economies it analysed have seen increased trade dependency to China since 2000, albeit to varying degrees.
Singapore, which has seen exports to China as a share of GDP almost triple since 2000, would fare worst with as many as 1.6 percentage points cut from GDP growth.

South Korea's hit would be smallest at 0.4 percentage point.
Other analysts have taken an even more aggressive view as investors have fretted about the risk of a so-called "hard landing" for growth as China's economy slows in the face of faltering foreign demand for its exports at the same time as policymakers attempt to rebalance activity towards domestic, consumer-led demand.
Moody's Analytics modelled a hard-landing scenario that saw Chinese GDP growth languishing at 3 per cent by the end of the next quarter, leaving growth about 5 percentage points short of its normal potential - what economists call an output gap.
Again Singapore came out as the worst affected economy in the region, suffering an output gap as big as 10 per cent of the island nation's GDP.
The Moody's analysis comes with plenty of caveats - not least that it sees only a 15 per cent chance of such a dire outcome.
The rate of China's economic growth since the Moody's analysis is roughly flat to where it was and market expectations are that it will have stayed that way in the second quarter, expanding at the same pace as the first quarter's 7.4 per cent year-on-year rise.
And that is likely to be the low point for this cycle.
"China, for all the dire news earlier this year, has shown signs of stabilisation," said HSBC economist Frederic Neumann.

      

  
   

http://sbr.com.sg/economy/news/h ... ll-affect-singapore
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How China's economic slowdown will affect Singapore                       

The Lion City is very susceptible.

According to DBS, the industries for externally oriented services will also be affected. Trade dependent industries such as the wholesale trade and transportation services will likely be weighed down by the moderation in intra-regional trade.

Even the real estate segment may feel the pinch as Chinese buyers account for 5.2% of the total number of buyers in the property market. However, the tourism industry will likely bear the brunt of a China slowdown amongst the services cluster.

Here's more from DBS:

                China is the second largest tourism market for Singapore and it is also one of the fastest growing. Total tourist arrivals from China registered 1.6 million in 2011 and it has been growing at a rapid pace of 14.4% per annum compared to the industry-wide average of 5.9% over the last decade.
                If Chinese tourist arrivals start to decline, the effect will be felt across the entire tourism value chain from the hotels to retail outlets, casinos as well as the F&B business.
                Singapore GDP growth will slow no doubt if China decides to aim for lower growth. Yet, inflation will spike again from April next year when the COE effects lapses. Underlying cost pressure within the economy remains high.
                With inflation risk lingering, room for monetary policy maneuvering is limited despite the slower growth. Juxtaposed against the belief of policymakers that a continued appreciation in the Sing dollar will complement the existing restructuring of the economy, the Monetary Authority of Singapore is unlikely to deviate from the current exchange rate policy stance in the near future.
                China has presented both enormous opportunities as well as challenges for the island state over the last few decades. While Singapore has benefited greatly from a strategy of engagement with this East Asian dragon over the years, it has also made itself susceptible to the economic cycle within China. Any change in China’s economic policy will impact Singapore.

- See more at: http://sbr.com.sg/economy/news/h ... thash.VnRXs3Hf.dpuf

blastoff

abas8888 posted on 1-10-2014 05:19 PM
best discussion di sini..byk dapat ilmu..byk rujukan diberikan..tq...

Krisis ekonomi china yang sedang melanda dunia ibarat tsunami  , penduduk negara2 lain nampak air yang mula-mula melanda negara depa memang tak banyak mana, sket aje kata depa, so ramai yang leka tak rasa bahaya apa , dok melente buat tak nampak je .

Masih berguling dalam hutang yang tinggi, masih dok sibuk membeli rumah pada harga yang mencanak2 melebihi nilai rumah tu sendiri . banyak yang in denial .

Walau di beri berbagai artikel untuk rujukan untuk memperlihatkan kat china dah ramai yang tenggelam dalam krisis ekonomi yang not getting any better tu.

To them it means nothing sebab depa dok tengok kat depan mata aje , so tak nampak bahaya lah, export menjunam pada depa pun sket je tak sampai 30 percent  .

Depa tak sedaq yang dok mai dari china nu airnya menggunung yang bakal menenggelamkan habih seluruh rantau nih . Dek kerana dok leka perati yang depan mata depa lupa nak cari tempat tinggi untuk berlindung.

blastoff

Jumlah rumah2 baru yang tak diduduki di china adalah 2X ganda dari yang terjadi di US ketika krisis ekonomi 2008. Sapa nak pelaku ? Dengan jumlah hutang lapuk bank2 jugak tertinggi, bank2 pun dah takut nak bagi pinjaman ..... keadaan tak akan menjadi lebih baik la nampaknya.

Aku nasihatkan bersedia lah dengan cash yang banyak , start saving from now pada yang belum lagi, dan seboleh2 nya jangan berhutang dah .

Dan sesapa yang terlibat dengan hutang yang tinggi tapi tak miliki emergency fund langsung , alamat bakal default lah nanti tu, apabila kerajaan dan peniaga2 adjust harga segala barangan sebagai reaksi kepada pengecutan untung dari china yang sedang berlaku dengan hebatnya sekarang ni tu.

Its coming our way so hang on tight to your money ppl.






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http://thediplomat.com/2014/06/china-slowdown-to-hit-asia-hard/

China Slowdown To Hit Asia Hard

By Anthony Fensom
June 12, 2014


Commodity exporters and emerging economies are exposed to any slowdown in the Chinese economy.


Asia’s developing economies are expected to suffer the fallout from China’s slowdown, with the World Bank warning of widespread reverberations should Beijing fail to prevent a “hard landing.” The fears escalated after new research estimated the number of vacant homes in China is double the U.S. peak at the height of its sub-prime mortgage crisis.


The warning of slower growth came in the Washington-based lender’s latest Global Economic Prospects report released Tuesday, which said that developing countries “are headed for a year of disappointing growth” after first-quarter weakness delayed an expected pick-up.


According to the bank, bad weather in the United States, the Ukraine crisis, “rebalancing” in China, political strife in Thailand and elsewhere and slow progress on structural reform would all contribute to the third straight year of sub-5 percent GDP growth for developing countries as a whole.


The bank cut its forecasts for developing countries, down from its January estimate of 5.3 percent growth to 4.8 percent this year, reflecting “a more challenging post-crisis global economic environment.” This included a tightening of global financial conditions, China’s restructuring and stable or even declining commodity prices.

blastoff

poison_paradise posted on 1-10-2014 12:09 AM
Nak buat camne... Harga takkan Turun.. Gaji pon tak naik..hihi.

Tp ada kwn keje opis gaji dlm 4.5 ...

Kawan kau tu mampu beli harga rumah yang tinggi kerana tambahan duit dari business sampingan, tapi adakah business sampingannya tu akan memberi pulangan yang tinggi secara tetap selama berpuluh2 tahun akan datang hingga habis mortgage rumah tu di bayar ?

Itu persoalan yang paling penting, bukan banyak mana yang masuk sekarang yang perlu di nilai , tapi adakah kemasukan tu boleh di kekalkan selama berpuluh2 tahun akan datang , se lama mana mortgage tuh perlu di bayar lah kan yang penting untuk di fikirkan dengan betul2 sebelum bertindak untuk terlibat dalam pengambilan loan yang tinggi gitu.

blastoff

Btw, bercakap pasal kenaikan harga minyak , aku rasa next year lagi hebat kenaikan akan berlaku, bukan stakat minyak saja tapi segala keperluan yang lain jugak.

Kerana kerajaan tentunya nak dapatkan semula keuntungan dagangan export yang dah hilang dari mata tu, so segala maknenek subsidi akan di kurangkan pastinya .  

Memandangkan kerajaan habih berbillion bagi subprime mortgages selama ni, tentunya pak2 menteri akan mula rasa panik apabila pendapatan negara jadi sket je akibat krisis ekonomi di china tu , ditambah plak dengan kos hidup bakal jadi terlampau tinggi menyebabkan rakyat banyak yang bakal default payments kelak.

Apabila impak krisis tu di rasai secara mendalam di masa depan , dan kesedaran bahwa rakan trade terbesar di china dah tak mampu support kemewahan pak2 menteri lagi dah , so solution yang ada pada depa adalah naikkan tax dan kurangkan subsidi untuk kutip duit sebanyak mungkin dari rakyat plak laa.

blastoff

tekoyong posted on 1-10-2014 05:38 PM
adik-adik kena tahu, nabi muhammad itu sendiri seorang kapitalis

oh, kapitalis tu bukannya orang  ...

Bukti Nabi bukan kapitalis adalah Nabi mengharamkan riba , sedangkan kapitalis anggap riba sebagai keuntungan yang perlu di benarkan agar bank boleh buat untung manyak . Sedangkan Nabi mengharamkan riba dari tukang tulis hingga pemberi dan penerima.

Sebab tu tekoyong suka kerajaan bagi pinjaman beriba pada orang miskin , malah di sokong harga rumah yang tinggi melampau agar bank2 boleh bagi pinjaman beriba yang cukup tinggi untuk buat keuntungan , semua nak di involve dengan riba dari yang miskin hingga yang kaya .

Jangan ada sekatan pada yang nak kaut untung sebanyak mana pun---> itu motto utama kapitalis . Sebaliknya Islam bezakan antara riba dan keuntungan , so Islam dan kapitalism ibarat minyak dan air, totally takkan boleh bercampur .

linnytuckming2

turun ke tak harga rumah ni?