Harga emas dijangka akan turun dan terus turun hingga hujung 2014!

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Gold Firms Ahead of Central Bank Meetings
by Peter A. Grant
Apr 29, AM

Gold begins the week on pretty firm footing, having retraced much of Friday's intraday retreat. The dominant story in the market continues to be the strong physical demand for gold that emerged as a result of the mid-month sell-off in the paper market.

A weaker dollar is helping to underpin the gold market. The greenback has been pressured by a stronger euro after Italy successfully formed a new government over the weekend. The ECB meets this week and a recent worsening of the economic data have increased the likelihood of a 25bp rate cut.

The Bank of Japan said reiterated its plan on Friday to "conduct money market operations so that the monetary base will increase at an annual pace of about 60-70 trillion yen." However, the market seems to have been hoping for more than the already stated plan to double the monetary base in two-years. The yen rallied, leaving the important 100.00 level against the dollar well protected.

The Fed also meets this week and will announce policy on Wednesday. With the economy continuing to languish, the FOMC is widely expected to hold rates steady near 0% and continue buying $85 bln a month in assets. In light of the recent soft data and hints of deflationary pressures, talk of phased withdrawals of accommodations has diminished in recent weeks.

cmf_blingblings

sayawifenikmie posted on 25-4-2013 11:12 PM
...emasssss emassss .. pi beli emassss .. hehe

dah ula naikbalik ek? tunggu je ..pasti turun bali ...

mcm mana tak naik, acik-acik main serbu taram emas kat kedai Ah Leong, Ah Seng, Hj Wahab Fakih, A.R Ramasamy................dsn lain-lain

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

174 tan emas dijual pada April - Reuters

Broad Retreat in Gold, Stocks and Commodities Ahead of Fed
by Peter A. Grant
May 01, AM

Gold heads into today's Fed decision on the defensive. While the FOMC is widely expected to hold pat, today's ADP employment survey miss has heightened the downside risk for the April employment report on Friday.

Mounting worries that the U.S. economy is sputtering once again and the employment picture is dimming are pressuring stocks and commodities. The dollar, which fell to new three-month lows overseas has rebounded as investors rotate out of shares and into cash.

The ADP employment survey came in at +119k in Apr, well below expectations of 160k, versus a negative revised 131k in Mar (from 158k). Median expectations for April nonfarm payrolls was about +160k, but the whispers of a possible downside miss are now rampant. TrimTabs Investment Research for example estimates that the U.S. economy added a mere 67,000 jobs in April.

Given the preponderance of recent data, those calling for a phased withdrawal of Fed accommodations appear to have been silenced. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised to hear a more subdued characterization of both the economic outlook and labor market conditions from the FOMC today.

With deflationary pressures seemingly mounting as well, and the ECB perhaps poised to ease, I would argue that heightened accommodations are actually more likely than removal of accommodations. Many believe that the deteriorating economic conditions in the eurozone will prompt the ECB to ease by 25 bps, perhaps as soon as tomorrow.

With the ECB considering an ease, the BoJ already in hyper-accommodative mode, it strikes me as unlikely that the Fed is going to tighten any time soon. Fed chairman Bernanke has said as much on may occasions, but the market has seemed more inclined to fret over the musings of a couple of regional Fed presidents.

The bounce in the dollar is weighing on gold, but I think the market remains particularly concerned about the magnitude of the recent redemptions in various ETPs. Reuters reported this morning that a whopping 174 metric tonnes came out of the paper market in April. Some of that is attributable to reallocation to stocks, but some is clearly associated with getting out of paper and into the real thing.

While demand for physical ebbed this week as prices stabilized below $1500, U.S. Mint data for April is reflective of just how strong demand has been. Mint sales surged to 209,500 ounces in April, a startling 238% increase over the 62,000 ounces sold in March. It was the highest monthly sales total since December 2009.

The press is also replete with stories about gold sellers across Asia and the Middle East whose display cases have been denuded by absolutely voracious demand. My sense is that there is still quite an appetite for physical out there, likely to be reignited by lower prices.

There were a number of holiday closures across a number of Asian financial centers today, which likely impacted demand. Some European markets are closed for May Day/Labour Day holidays as well.

lurve82

Aku baru beli semlm...rm145/g kat tmpt aku ni...ramai gle org kat kedai tu...dh la aku tgh pantg 2mggu...gigih gak nk pegi...huhu...tp xpki pun...beli pastu simpan...nmpk tua lak klu pki....

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Gold Retreats on Ongoing Talk of Fed Tapering
by Peter A. Grant
May 14, AM

Gold is easier today amid ongoing talk of the phased withdrawal of Fed accommodations. New signs of deflationary pressures and persistent firmness in the dollar are also weighing on the yellow metal.

Philly Fed hawk Charles Plosser said today that the central bank was risking its credibility if it fails to taper accommodations in light of recent improvements in the labor market. Plosser thinks this should happen as quickly as the June FOMC meeting. However, he hedged by saying further easing may also be necessary if inflation expectations fall.

U.S. import and export prices obliged today, falling 0.5% and 0.7% respectively in April. Both were below expectations. Deflationary pressures on one hand diminish the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge. However, on the other hand, deflation is going to force the Fed to push all that much harder in its battle to create inflation, increasing the likelihood that they will overshoot their target.

The dollar index set a new high for the year today at 83.59, within striking distance of three-year highs at 84.10. The greenback is being boosted by a softer euro and continued weakness in the yen.

USD-JPY cleared the 102.00 level this week, putting the rate at levels not seen since September 2008. The yen came under further pressure today on talk from BoJ watchers that PM Abe was likely to announce the second phase of his aggressive growth agenda, perhaps as soon as Friday.

Apparently a doubling of the monetary base over the next two-years just wasn't going to be sufficient to end decades of deflation and reinvigorate the moribund Japanese economy. There's another shoe to drop in Japan. While widely anticipated to focus on tax cuts, deregulation and investment policy, given the aggressiveness of the Abe government and the Kuroda BoJ, markets remain wary.

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Gold Slides Back Below $1400 as Dollar and Stocks Shrug-off Weak Data
by Peter A. Grant
May 15, AM

Gold has fallen back below the $1400 level as both the dollar and stocks shrugged off the latest weak economic data. The dollar index is engaged in a test of last July's high at 84.10. Penetration would put the greenback at new three-year highs.

Both the DJIA and the S&P 500 pressed on to new record highs in early trading, despite a decline in industrial production in April and a surprise drop into negative territory for the Empire State Index. Both data points were well below market expectations and are indicative of persistent sluggishness in the economy.

Additionally, PPI registered a second consecutive monthly decline in April, dropping 0.7%. This is just the latest indication of deflationary pressures, coming on the heals of yesterday's reported drops in both April import and export prices.

While the absence of inflationary pressures diminishes the appeal of gold as a hedge against price risks, deflationary pressures increase the likelihood that global central banks will push back all the harder in their efforts to manufacture the inflation they so desperately desire. The velocity of money is a funny thing though, if the inflation dam finally breaks, the central banks may get far more than they bargained for. Certainly the prospects for the Fed starting to scale back accommodations would have to be considered lower in light of today's data.

In the meantime, remember that gold has historically proven to be an effective hedge against systemic risks and deflation as well. Just look at the yellow metal's performance during the Great Depression of the 1930s and the more recent Great Recession of 2007 through 2009.

There seems to be this growing perception that the U.S. economy is improving, which is weighing on gold's more general safe-haven appeal. While there have been some bright spots on the jobs and housing fronts of late, the broader data simply don't bear out the notion that the economy is finally reaching 'escape velocity.'

All I can deduce then is that the perception is being driven primarily by the gains in the stock market. Assuming that all must be well simply because stocks are on the rise is ill-advised, as evidenced by the fact that the DJIA last peaked in October 2007 at 14,198, right before all hell broke loose.

Risk appetite too is a funny thing: Here today, gone tomorrow. In pushing investors out along the risk curve, the Fed is toying once again with peoples' financial futures. Particularly those at or near retirement, who would traditionally be invested largely in the (perceived) safety of fixed income products.

However, the near-zero yields of such products prompted Bill Gross of bond giant PIMCO to say, "Never have investors reached so high in price for so low a return. Never have investors stooped so low for so much risk." Given that reality, older investors and pension funds are jumping back into the stock market with both feet. What could possibly go wrong?

The plunge in stocks during the financial crisis is still very fresh in investors minds, it strikes me that they would be very unlikely to ride out another 50%+ decline in shares. That may in fact lead to a more precipitous drop in stocks if those investors become concerned about the sustainability of their gains and start moving to the sidelines.

Maintaining your hedges may now be more important than ever. In fact, the lower price of gold could be viewed as an opportunity to either begin building those hedges, or bolster your existing hedges.

mdmyana

Bape harga hari nie??

Any one please.....

funnyTONE

mdmyana posted on 16-5-2013 04:11 PM
Bape harga hari nie??

Any one please.....

iols baru risik kt kedai cina biasa dia ckp rm 145 kalu beli cash...utang mahal lg kot..

kt habib rm 160.. yg ni aku rase lebih kurang sama poh kong, tomei sume tu

kahmadz

mdmyana posted on 16-5-2013 04:11 PM
Bape harga hari nie??

Any one please.....

mdmyana,
Maybank Gold investment Account RM137.95/gram;
KFH Gold investment account-i RM141.01/gram;
PAMP Suisse 1gram gold Bar Lady Fortuna RM181.46.

harga di kedai kena pegi melawat kedai le nampaknya..

nora_balqis

tgk kat fb. kat gold 916. dia update hari nie emas harga RM 139/gram

mdmyana

funnyTONE posted on 16-5-2013 04:36 PM
iols baru risik kt kedai cina biasa dia ckp rm 145 kalu beli cash...utang mahal lg kot..

kt hab ...

Toce..Toce..

Nampaknya ioulls cuma mampu beli beg kertas Habib je laa

mdmyana

kahmadz posted on 16-5-2013 04:38 PM
mdmyana,
Maybank Gold investment Account RM137.95/gram;
KFH Gold investment account-i RM141.01/g ...

Terima kaseh atas info yang diberi..

noraidil_06

Kedai kuala pilah rm130/gm

Dzulqarnain

Bailouts dip lg ke...

cmf_blingblings

Langkawi mmg sokmo mahal dr tempat lain

cmf_blingblings

terjumpa dgn supplier barang kemas utk kedai-kedai mas ni...Dia cakap actually margin jual emas ni tak tinggi, bila harga jatuh tokey2 tu akan naikkan upah supaya depa masih boleh untung.

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

More Evidence of Economic Weakness and Absence of Inflation
by Peter A. Grant
May 16, AM

Gold remains defensive below $1400, having dropped to four-week lows in overseas trading. However, the latest round of U.S. data reinforces the theme of yesterday's DMR; that the economy really isn't in a true recovery.

Initial jobless claims jumped 32k last week, housing starts plunged 16.5% in April and the Philly Fed index tumbled to -5.2 in May. This lends credence to my assertion yesterday that "the broader data simply don't bear out the notion that the economy is finally reaching escape velocity."

On top of that, CPI fell 0.4% in April, below expectations of -0.1%, adding to evidence that deflationary pressures are mounting. Signs of slowing growth aside, the utter absence of inflation is reason enough for the Fed to keep its foot on the monetary gas pedal. Certainly there doesn't seem to be any reason for the Fed to seriously consider tapering accommodations at this point.

In fact, there seems to be reason for them to be contemplating additional measures in light of heightened growth risks and diminishing inflation expectations. This is something that they made quite clear they were prepared to do in the last FOMC statement, should economic conditions warrant.

Despite the fact that the Fed has pumped trillions of dollars into the economy in recent years with the expressed goal of creating 2%+ inflation and reinvigorating the economy, the exact opposite now seems to be occurring. So what's our central bank to do?

The Fed has been on hold since announcing QE4 back in December, while the rest of their major counterparts have had a very distinct easing bias. The one exception is the BoE, but that's likely only because they're undergoing a leadership change. Once new BoE governor Carney is in place, it is widely expected that they will increase asset purchases.

I suppose the Fed could begin removing accommodations premised on the reality that they simply aren't working. There would likely be dire consequence of such a move.

More likely, based on historic precedence, is that the Fed will continue throwing good money after bad. That's the path Japan has chosen, at we certainly seem to be following in their footsteps.

sayawifenikmie

noraidil_06 posted on 16-5-2013 07:34 PM
Kedai kuala pilah rm130/gm

kedai lee wah ek? ada satu kedai lagi .. lagimurah .. lupa lak nama kedai dia .....

abil_tetra

ada je meber beli kat k/pilah...tp upah katanyer mahal, kos pergi. ada jga yg beli dibanting...tp kata cina byk dah abis, bila tny kata u simpan eh, apek tu selamba kata..mana tau, simpan bank la, xkan nak rugi. x tau la dia saje melawak ke apa...tp ada tny di bangi..pon abis yg kecik2 mcm anting2 dan rantai kaki, x tau la klu betul abis.

noraidil_06

sayawifenikmie posted on 17-5-2013 11:29 AM
kedai lee wah ek? ada satu kedai lagi .. lagimurah .. lupa lak nama kedai dia .....

o ye ke? ade fb page tk? sy beli online je.keadaan x mengizinkan utk sy gi ke k.pilah skrg.