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[Dunia]
Harga emas dijangka akan turun dan terus turun hingga hujung 2014!
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Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas
Gold Firms as Stocks Tumble
by Peter A. Grant
June 05, AM
Gold is back above $1400 after a weaker than expected May ADP employment survey (you guessed it) dimmed Fed tightening expectations. Everything these days is viewed through the lens of Fed policy. A weaker dollar and a sharp drop in stocks are also helping to underpin the yellow metal.
The ADP survey came in at +135k private sector jobs in May, on expectations of +165k. The April ADP print was revised lower as well, from +119k initially to +113k. This will undoubtedly raise some concerns about Friday's nonfarm payrolls report. A miss on Friday could put this whole Fed tapering nonsense to rest...but I doubt it.
While we wait for the NFP number, gold is likely to remain confined to the recent range. However, that might change if the recent weakness in stocks persists. The Nikkei gave back all of yesterday's gains, dropping to a new 7-week low and edged closer to bear market territory. U.S. stocks are off sharply today as well.
If investors start to worry about their equity market gains, they may start looking at hedging their exposure in traditional safe-havens such as gold. At this point, the total gold in trust for the world's biggest gold ETF is still edging lower. Physical demand on the other hand, particularly in Asia, remains robust.
If U.S. investors suddenly decide they want their gold back, they may well opt for the real thing. But even if they opt to return to the paper market, where is the underlying supply of physical going to come from? That could result in sharply higher prices.
It's always a good idea to buy something as rare as gold in the quiet times. If a sharp drop in stocks, or some other unforeseen event prompts a stampede back into the yellow metal, tight supply in the physical market could result in a double whammy: Higher market prices and higher premiums. |
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semalam pergi kedai emas tanya harga dah naik rm155/g ... |
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baru beli 2 hari lepas kt Seri Ayu depan Mydin besar Ipoh. Harga emas rm148. Lepas diskaun semua, calculate balik jd RM146.
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hari ni harga emas jatuh lagi 0.05% |
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saspek jatuh lagi kan uols...
syoknye..  |
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boleh lagi nak simpan duit dari sekarang..hehe |
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harap2x ujung taun ni emas trun harga lagi  |
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tengah simpan wet gak nak beli gelang besoooo punye hehehe
tapi dupdapdupdap takut akhir taun harga naik balik.. |
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jatuh apa nya, semalam g kedai emas melayu dan cina semua sama jer, naik dari sebelum ni
semua letak rm160/g
aku ingat nak beli cincin belah rotan licin padat tuh
tapi kiv dulu tunggu harga turun semula bawah rm145
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atira posted on 7-6-2013 02:24 PM 
saspek jatuh lagi kan uols...
syoknye..
jatuh ker?
semalam rm160/g banding aku beli 2 minggu lepas rm143/g
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emas hari ini kat kedai RM160/g
lupakan hasrat dulu |
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Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas
Gold Drops on Revived Risk Appetite
by Peter A. Grant
June 07, AM
Gold fell on Friday, weighed by a sharp rebound in stocks resulting from another lackluster jobs report that many interpreted as a signal that the Fed would not be removing accommodations any time soon. Another classic example of 'bad news is good news' for equities because it means the Fed will keep on printing. So today is was 'risk on,' as more investors bailed on their safe-havens in order to pile back into stocks.
Of course Fed tapering expectations have vacillated with near daily regularity. While the payrolls number came in slightly better than expected for May at +175k, April was revised significantly lower and the jobless rate ticked higher to 7.6%. An uptick does not a new trend make, but more analysts now think it's unlikely that the Fed will indicate tighter policy at the June FOMC meeting.
More, but certainly not all: The Wall Street Journal's Jon Hilsenrath write an article today that said, "Federal Reserve officials are likely to signal at their June policy meeting that they’re on track to begin pulling back their $85-billion-a-month bond-buying program later this year, as long as the economy doesn’t disappoint." Well isn't that just a restatement of the 'data dependent' mantra made by Fed chairman Bernanke, time and time again?
By this point, you all know my view: The Fed is not going to make any tightening moves, certainly not before Bernanke's anticipated retirement. The Fed's own forecasts suggest their unemployment target of 6.5% won't be hit until at least 2015.
Fixed income guru Jeff Gundlach believes QE is here to stay...as in permanent...as in Japan permanent. He believes QE is not really about stimulating the economy and lowering unemployment, it's about financing the Federal deficits. And there are deficits as far as the eye can see.
And speaking of Japan and QE: Despite a massive expansion of easy monetary policy this year by the BoJ, the Nikkei 225 index is now in a bear market, having fallen 20% from the last month's 5-1/2 year high. Whoa, whoa, whoa! How could that be? PM Abe and BoJ governor Kuroda pledged to double the monetary base over the next two years, and buy assets of all stripes — including stocks — with abandon. The yen has plunged in value since late last year...and yet stocks are now tumbling and yields on JGBs have surged.
Remember the Japanese have been at the QE game for more than twenty-years. If you were a gambler, would you put your money on Abe/Kuroda folding, or doubling down? I'm afraid I'd have to bet on the latter.
The Fed needs to take a good hard look at Japan and recognize that ultimately nothing good will come from endless money printing. Hopefully that will happen before we find ourselves twenty-years down the road with a debt to GDP ratio of 245% — as Japan does now — with no way to escape. Something that the Japanese experiment may now be proving.
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Beli je emas masa ada duit..tak kira tgh mahal ke murah.emas jatuh harga RM6/g pun kalau takde duit tak boleh beli jugak. |
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sw00sh posted on 10-6-2013 11:04 PM
Beli je emas masa ada duit..tak kira tgh mahal ke murah.emas jatuh harga RM6/g pun kalau takde duit ...
Apa point sebenar argument ko tu? |
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tak silap...semalam dalam radio kata harga emas RM134 per gram |
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Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas
Gold Consolidates Amid Tapering Uncertainty
by Peter A. Grant
June 10, AM
Gold dipped modestly deeper into the range on Monday on news that S&P raised the credit outlook for the U.S. from negative to stable. This at least initially lifted the dollar and weighed on the safe-haven appeal of the yellow metal. However, downticks were limited and gold bounced back to trade higher on the day.
Keep in mind that U.S. sovereign debt is still AA+ in S&P's eyes, and while the "stable" outlook means that another downgrade is now unlikely, so too is a return to a AAA rating. In reading between the lines, it seems clear that S&P thinks the Fed is doing a pretty good job of countering ineptness on the fiscal side of the equation. It will be interesting to see if that opinion changes when the debt ceiling rears its ugly head again later in the summer.
The 'will they taper, won't they taper' debate continues to rage on. Friday's May employment report showed slightly better than expected payrolls at +175k, but the jobless rate ticked higher. Hardly a stellar jobs report, but nonetheless there are those out there suggesting it was good enough to bolster the case for the Fed to begin scaling back on accommodations. The S&P outlook upgrade perhaps provides some additional credence.
This week's May retail sales figure on Wednesday is the next data point that will be watched closely. The market is expecting +0.4%, after an anemic 0.1% print in April. Better than expected chain store sales offer a little optimism.
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Babai posted on 10-6-2013 11:14 PM
Apa point sebenar argument ko tu?
Sekadar ingatan kepada forumer-forumer yang asyik nak tunggu emas turun harga...beli je bila ada duit,kalau nak tunggu harga turun baru nak beli,ada jaminan ke duit tu masih ada?entah-entah minggu depan dah kena pakai sebab nak bayar macam2 perbelanjaan yang tidak di duga.contohnya: kereta rosak
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adehhhhh... minggu pas dah habis dah dkt 5k beli rantai leher bt simpan utk sesapa yg nak jadi bini...... esok dah kawin aku, time harijadi aku nk minta blk d/p Z800..... |
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Post time 6-6-2013 12:30 PM
