Harga emas dijangka akan turun dan terus turun hingga hujung 2014!

sw00sh

Harga emas jatuh sebab manipulasi pasaran saham.bila harga emas jatuh,maka akan berlaku lah jualan panik oleh pelabur-pelabur kecil.kesempatan ini digunakan oleh puak-puak tertentu untuk mengaut emas di pasaran sebagai simpanan mereka.Bila runtuhnya sistem matawang kertas,golongan ini lah yang akan jadi org paling kaya kerana nilai emas memang tidak akan jatuh.yang jatuh adalah nilai dalam matawang kertas. Cuba fikir secara logik,kenapa Islam mengenakan zakat ke atas emas dan perak.

razhar

sw00sh posted on 13-6-2013 12:44 PM
Harga emas jatuh sebab manipulasi pasaran saham.bila harga emas jatuh,maka akan berlaku lah jualan p ...

apa kaitan pasaran saham dengan harga emas?

sw00sh

razhar posted on 13-6-2013 12:51 PM
apa kaitan pasaran saham dengan harga emas?

pasaran saham dan emas saling berkait..cuba perhatikan trend harga emas dan saham..apabila harga saham merudum,harga emas akan berada dalam keadaan yang stabil dan tren menaik..dan sebaliknya berlaku seperti sekarang.sekali lagi di tekankan..harga emas di manipulasi supaya pelabur-pelabur jangka pendekl berpindah dari instrumen emas kepada pasaran saham.

razhar

sw00sh posted on 13-6-2013 02:08 PM
pasaran saham dan emas saling berkait..cuba perhatikan trend harga emas dan saham..apabila harga s ...

so kini trend beli emas banyak2 la kan? as stock bila harga dah stabil dan naik....

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Gold Weighed as Stocks Rebound
by Peter A. Grant
June 13, AM

Gold turned lower on Thursday as a generally positive round of data boosted stocks. Apparently a 12k drop in initial jobless claims last week and a 0.6% jump in retail sales outweighs the heightened risk that that Fed will start removing accommodations. At any rate, today it a 'risk-on' day for U.S. markets.

That sure wasn't the case in Japan, where the Nikkei tumbled more than 6% to set new two-month lows. This puts the Japanese stock market decisively back in bear market territory after a modest rebound earlier in the week that failed after the BoJ opted not to boost the pace of asset purchases.

Recent action in the Nikkei makes me wonder if U.S. stock market gains are sustainable. Would the Fed dare to start removing accommodations at a time of year that is cyclically bearish for stocks anyway. I'm betting not, but perhaps we'll have a clearer picture once the FOMC meets next week. Then again, the Fed has been cranking out mixed messages left and right lately.

In the near term, the gold market will likely continue to oscillate with Fed tapering expectations. However, even if the Fed were to downshift, their foot will remain firmly on the monetary gas pedal for some time to come. Perhaps today's other data points, the 0.6% drop in import prices, and the 0.5% drop in export prices will provide them the cover they need to keep up the pace of QE. Hey, there's no sign of inflation...

MMISS

last 2 week rege emas kat kedai rm142/gm.. kat sini pekan kecil ada 3 kedai emas jek tapi rege semua tak sama. normally beli kat kedai yg biasa beli coz rege dia berpatutan n patern barang kemas yg menarik

sitihawa

semalam g sogo. last day sale untuk pemegang s kad
so, g solat kat jalan masjid india
lalu2 depan kedai emas jalan TAR
nampak harga emas ada yg rm136-rm138/gram.
so, aku beli cincin belah rotan plain yg padat gak, harga rm500.

misi aku berjaya untuk beli cincin,rantai dan loket semasa harga murah ni
nanti2 kalau aku sesak2 napas,
aku g lah ahrahnu kot

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Fed Taper Debate Rages On
by Peter A. Grant
June 14, AM

Gold remains consolidative as the taper debate rages on. In an article late yesterday by WSJ Fed watcher Jon Hilsenrath, the central bank may have been trying to clarify their intentions. Hilsenrath is widely perceived to be a mouthpiece for the Fed.

Hilsenrath suggests the Fed is keen to quash an emerging expectation in the market that "the Fed might start raising short-term interest rates — now near zero — sooner than previously thought." I don't think the market disbelieves Bernanke necessarily, but I do believe that the mixed messages from the Fed lately are understandably causing some concern, which in turn is prompting them to make some more defensive investment decisions. Taking a little money off the table as it were...

As it turns out, foreign buyers of our bonds are apparently already front-running the Fed. TIC data revealed this morning that net foreign sales of Treasuries was a staggering $54.5 bln in April. I suspect that sales continued in May, which surely contributed to the recent rise in yields. Can the Fed really pull back at this point without creating risks to growth?

Gold firmed intraday on a warmer than expected PPI print for May. PPI rose 0.5% last month, largely as a result of higher energy and food prices. Core PPI remained pretty tame at +0.1%. While heightened price risk might be an incentive for the Fed to scale back on asset purchases, in light of the recent disinflation, I don't see that as an imminent concern.

Industrial production and consumer sentiment both missed on the downside today, so again, the data just aren't confirming that the recovery is reaching "escape velocity". Taking that into consideration, and given the tame inflation outlook, it continues to strike me as quite unlikely that the Fed will start pulling back on accommodations. Yet even if they were to begin tapering, the Fed would still be a very long way from anything even remotely resembling tight monetary policy.

manehnya

wehu... yeay yeay.. sempat lah aku nk kumpul duit beli rantai tangan rose.. raya tahun depan

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Gold Not Spared in Broad Global Market Retreat
by Peter A. Grant
June 20, AM

Gold fell sharply in overseas trading, along with most asset classes, as investors seem generally disheartened by Fed chairman Bernanke's post-FOMC comments yesterday. Additionally, a weak PMI print out of China heightened concerns that the world's second largest economy is slowing more than previously thought. This all has creating somewhat of a perfect storm in global markets.

Fed chairman Bernanke said yesterday that the central banks $85 bln per month asset purchase program could be slowed later this year and perhaps end entirely around the middle of next year, IF the economy improves. That strikes me as a pretty big 'if', that the market seems to be broadly ignoring. Bernanke absolutely hammered on the data dependency of Fed policy throughout his press conference, but apparently that all fell on deaf ears.

While Fed expectations favor continued gradual improvement, their data have not proven to be very reliable in the past. In fact, we're not anywhere close to the two key thresholds most associated with the Fed's dual mandate; 6.5% unemployment and 2.0% PCE inflation.

Yet the market's reaction to Bernanke threatens to derail those very growth prospects. The recent sharp rise in interest rates is likely to weigh on growth and have dire consequences for the cost of financing our massive Federal debt. Rising rates and mortgage spreads could spell trouble for the housing market recovery. The negative wealth effect of falling share prices tends to adversely impact consumer confidence.

At this point though, it's 'risk-off' and everyone is getting out of everything and moving primarily into dollars. I suspect the drop in gold is once again the result of ETP redemptions and I would say these levels will likely be seen as very attractive to physical buyers.

In an FT article posted earlier this morning, HSBC metals analyst James Steel said, "The slide in gold prices may trigger a positive demand response from price-sensitive buyers.” Steel went on to suggest that the double digit premium being paid in Shanghai over London prices is indicative of continued strong Asian demand.

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Weak GDP Print Fails to Revive Gold
by Peter A. Grant
June 26, AM

Gold fell to a 34-month low in overseas trading on Tuesday as expectations of Fed tapering continue to drive markets. The dollar remains firm and the bias in yields remains to the upside, adding further weight to the yellow metal.

Gold mounted a modest intraday recovery when Q1 GDP was revised lower to just 1.8%, suggesting at least some heard Bernanke hammering on the data dependency of any future Fed actions. While gains in the stock market proved sticky, upticks in the gold market were short-lived.

Growth of 0.4% in Q4-12 and 1.8% growth (down from 2.4% preliminary read) in Q1 is not exactly suggestive of an economy gaining traction. Downward revisions to Q2 GDP may be forthcoming and so once again I find it hard to believe that tapering is truly forthcoming.

What the Fed says is not nearly as important as what the Fed ultimately does. The New York Fed purchased another $3.136 billion in Treasury coupons just today, so QE is alive and well.

lurve82

Dh xde duit nk tmbh emas..tgu next year la pulak...

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Gold Rebounds Ahead of Weekend
by Peter A. Grant
June 28, AM

Gold fell to yet another new 34-month low in overseas trading on Friday. The yellow metal started the New York session off the low, but still in negative territory. Subsequently, gold caught a bit of a bid, regaining $1200.

Perhaps it's just short-covering ahead of the weekend, but on the other hand, maybe the gold market is finally taking heed of all the Fed officials who were out in droves this week declaring that the market had misinterpreted chairman Bernanke's comments of last week.

Fed governor Jeremy Stein was the latest of the troops to go forth and proclaim the market got it all wrong, the Fed will maintain its easy money policy for years to come. Meanwhile, former Treasury Secretary Geithner apparently told investment managers at a dinner party that he doesn't expect short-term interest rates to rise for years and years. Geithner apparently went on to say that once the slowing of QE ultimately begins, it will take five-years before it completely winds down.

That flies in the face of what Bernanke said just last week: That under some scenario, QE could end sometime next year. Geithner seems to think that scenario is rather unlikely. I'm inclined to agree.

The data just don't seem to support any kind of recovery scenario that would warrant the Fed removing accommodations, let alone raising rates. The downward revision to Q1 GDP earlier this week, and the absolutely terrible Chicago June PMI print — the biggest monthly drop in four-years — are just the latest examples. We're already starting to see downward revisions to Q2 GDP expectations.

In attempting to clarify the central bank's position in recent months, Bernanke has only sown more uncertainty. It remains to be seen if his minions will successfully temper those taper expectations, or if it will take more glaring evidence in the data to revive the QEternity mindset.

If Geithner's expectations are accurate; that we have at least five more years of QE ahead of us, that would just about precisely mark the completion of our first lost decade. In Japan, where this trail was blazed, they will be deep into their third lost decade at that point.

sitihawa

harga emas ni turun sampai bila?
bila akan naik harga dan menten sekitar rm180/g?
aku balik terengganu baru ni, harga kat sana rm136/gm
geram2 jer aku nak beli, tapi fikir2 10x, sebab aku baru je beli kan

so, aku nak tunggu harga emas ni naik jer, saja nak tengok benar ke ?

kakikuDibibirmu

harga emas sentiasa turun, sibuk dinar ke hulu dinar ke hilir, islam akan menang di akhir zaman

kahmadz

Laporan Harian Pasaran Emas

Bernanke's Conundrum
What it might mean for gold
by Michael Kosares
July 1, AM

“Central banks sold a record amount of US Treasury debt last week and bond funds suffered the biggest investor withdrawals on record as global markets shuddered at the prospect of the US Federal Reserve ending its quantitiative easing program.”

“People are throwing in the towel. It’ll drag the market down lower over the course of the summer.” Markus Rosgen, chief Asia equity strategist at Citigroup

If “people are throwing in the towel” as Mr. Rosgen suggests, Bernanke will find himself in an all-new conundrum quite the opposite of the one in which Alan Greenspan found himself in 2005.

For the Fed, the Treasury debt selling creates a twofold problem:

First, the supply of bonds in the open market will continue to drive up rates. When the goal is to keep rates down, it presents a new kind of conundrum - a Bernanke version the exact opposite of Greenspan’s. Greenspan wanted higher rates. The market gave him lower rates by accelerating its purchases of Treasuries, thus the conundrum. Bernanke wants the exact opposite, that is, lower rates. The market is giving him higher rates by accelerating the sale of U.S. government debt - a conundrum opposite to the one Greenspan encountered. Then and now, the market pundits fret that the Fed is losing (has lost) control of interest rates.

Second, if the world is selling Treasuries, some entity will have to pony up with the purchases of newly-issued U.S. government debt. That entity is the Federal Reserve - the government’s lender of last resort. The new Bernanke conundrum will force the Fed to continue its QE program until such time that other private and public sector buyers of U.S. debt materialize. Ironically, the stock market might already be reacting to the new rate reality (although in a confused state), while gold’s sudden demise, if indeed caused by the so-called “paring down of quantitative easing,” might have been false. If that is the case, a make-up rally could be in the offing.....in fact it might already have been launched.

In an earlier article, I advised that we should take heed of what the Fed does, not what it says. In a certain sense, as you see in the two graphs below, the Federal Reserve may have already launched QE4 while simultaneously talking about ratcheting monetization down. The two graphs together show cause and effect and tell the real story of what is happening at the Fed. For a while, it wasn’t clear why bank reserve credit (QE) was rising. When you marry that chart to 10-year Treasury maturity rates, the reason becomes quite clear. The Fed is battling the market to keep rates low and the government (along with the rest of the economy) financed at favorable rates.

mieraAdriana

smlam g ronda2 jlan TAR, nmpak hrga emas kt sna 1grm = rm126 ...

nk kene sambar gak 1 nih ..dpat pkai raye ...

AHMADVW

lurve82 posted on 27-6-2013 03:41 PM
Dh xde duit nk tmbh emas..tgu next year la pulak...

brim2 dah mintak ko belum?

lurve82

AHMADVW posted on 2-7-2013 02:56 PM
brim2 dah mintak ko belum?

Aku xlayak la tau tak....mintak sket brim ko...

izamahmed

bagus la kalau turun. sape2 nak kawen boleh beli awal. tak rugi melabur emas.