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[Dunia]
..ECRL diambang kelingkupan. Siam mulakan projek Landbridge di selatan, siap pad
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MALAYSIA needs to cast its worrying politics aside and speed up the development of the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL), if it does not want this RM50bil landbridge project to be made irrelevant by a similar Thai southern plan.
The multibillion dollar landbridge plan, touted as a game changer for Thailand and slated to complete by 2027, will carry major economic and geopolitical implications for Malaysia and Asia.
From news flow, the Thai government is pushing ahead with the undertaking to build motorways and rail lines linking a new deep seaport on the Gulf of Thailand and another port on the Andaman Sea.
More details on this Thai project are expected this month, according to media reports quoting Thai Transport Minister Saksayam Chidchob.
The Bangkok Post reported last month that Saksayam had urged various agencies to expedite work on this southern mega project after attending a video conference on its progress.
In its May 6 report, the Post cited Saksayam as saying 16-metre-deep ports would be constructed at both ends of the landbridge, with direct links to the nation’s rail and highway networks.
The ports will accommodate goods and passenger transport, with the potential for oil pipeline transport, he said.
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“The shortest and most direct routes between the ports will be chosen for the land bridge project, ” the minister said, adding locations in Chumphon and Ranong were being surveyed and special economic zones would be developed.
According to a Chinese YouTube post, China’s major state-owned infrastructure companies have informed the Thai government of their interest to participate in this project.
Bangkok had originally planned for a Kra Canal that would cost over US$28bil, jointly with Chinese state corporations. But this plan was cancelled last September due to high cost, high risk and challenges posed by difference in water levels.
The proposed gateway aims to make Thailand the main route for regional cargo and oil transporting from the Indian Ocean and the Persian Gulf to the Pacific, according to Thai media reports.
Although details on the so-called Chumphon-Ranong landbridge are scant, the project could come under Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative to kick-start Thailand’s recovery from Covid-19.
If an oil pipeline is built, this could mean crude oil from the Middle East would be shipped to Ranong, and via the pipeline to Chumphon for tankers heading to China, Japan, and South Korea.
It makes business sense for an oil pipeline to be built as over 80% of the crude oil passing through the Straits of Malacca is bound mainly for China, South Korea and Japan.
As 80% of China’s oil imports worth about US$1.8 trillion pass through the South China Sea via the Straits of Malacca, it is logical Beijing wants a stake in this project to reduce reliance on the Straits amid rising tension with Washington.Like the ECRL, this Thai project – if implemented and completed by 2027 – will provide a shortcut and cheaper alternative route for shipping through the Straits of Malacca to the South China Sea, which sees cargo traffic of over US$5.3 trillion annually.
Without a doubt, this Thai plan will pose future competition to the ECRL, the Port of Singapore and Indonesia’s Sunda Strait and Lombok Strait.
The ECRL, targeted for completion in 2026, aims to capture similar cargo business via Kuantan Port in the east and Port Klang in the west.
As shipping times can be saved, it may be more time- and cost-efficient for west-bound cargo to use the Thai route, rather than venture further south.
Although Kuantan Port Consortium – owned jointly by JM Corporation Bhd and China-linked Beibu Gulf Holdings (Hong Kong) Company Ltd – may be able to bring in more Chinese cargo when the ECRL is completed, basic business principles will rule if the shorter Thai route is cheaper.
While geopolitical dynamics may come into play and other foreign powers may emerge to interfere with this Thai project, Putrajaya should not sit idle.
It will be too complacent for Malaysia to think that the potential threat from the Thai project is too remote. Lest people forget, Thai leaders appear to be more steadfast and efficient in decision-making.
Hence, it is important for Malaysia to prepare itself now for future challenges and possible risk.
As the Thai project’s completion year is set for 2027 – one year later than ECRL’s, the ECRL must be completed long before the Thai project.
The ECRL should also start thinking of building niches before the Thai project becomes a reality.
However, there is a more urgent task now. The Federal Government must persuade the Selangor state government to put a stop to its refusal in granting approval for the “last mile” of the ECRL project in the state.
According to a Bernama report on March 31, the Selangor government was maintaining its stance in choosing the southern alignment for the ECRL, while rejecting the northern alignment.
As reports by both government and independent specialists have shown that the northern alignment will be able to spur more economic activities and capture more passengers both ways, it is sensible and logical to adopt the northern alignment.
Under the original plan by the Barisan Nasional government, the targeted completion for ECRL was 2024. But after Pakatan Harapan took over power in May 2018, the target was delayed to 2026 when they altered the alignment of the “last mile”.
And under the present government, the project was modified and the alignment reverted to the north as it is calculated to be economically viable. While there is no denial that all regimes seem to have political agendas, the yardstick to use should be economic viability and sustainability.
According to transport consultant Goh Bok Yen, who I interviewed last year, the northern route could lure more passengers – notably from the heavily populated Klang Valley, and generate much more income from commercial activities.
The politically-independent specialist warned last year: “The ECRL can become a white elephant if the last and most profitable section is chosen wrongly. The key return will come from this last mile and it is expected to subsidise other sections.”
With this external threat looming, our politicians should not waste time on trivial debates anymore. We have lost two years already.
If we want the ECRL to be successful and profitable, the project should not suffer any more delay. If we want it to be relevant, it must be completed far ahead of the Thai project.
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Author |
Post time 13-6-2021 09:12 PM
From the mobile phone
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Gambau nya:
https://cdn.thestar.com.my/Content/Images/pg16.jpg |
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orang thai xmengamuk ke? projek mega gajah putih
opss thai mmg gajah pun |
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thailand dijajah china kominis
- Thanolpuditachalorn - |
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Lingkup habah kau
Potensi ecrl dah dikaji semua sudut
bukan untuk kegunaan cina je
projek di siam tu tak boleh cater semua volume kargo perkapalan
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koyak ke tu?
x syak lagi ecrl kebanggaan bossku tu bakal melingkup kalo siam proceed pojek nih
selayaknya digelar bapak pelingkup negara
pfftt
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tripleid replied at 13-6-2021 09:45 PM
koyak ke tu?
x syak lagi ecrl kebanggaan bossku tu bakal melingkup kalo siam proceed pojek nih
...
Koyak betul sampai off topic kat sini
point takde
idiot
haha |
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naik setahun sekali buat apa
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Potong sahaja lah Segenting Kra tu buat terusan Siam, biar Malaysia jadi pulau macam yindon caprut, kita kan serumput |
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Siam jugak lagi advance boleh membina.. |
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Kalau Malaya ni sebesar benua Afrika atau Amerika Selatan dah lama dah ada terusan Siam macam terusan Suez atau Panama. Tapi Malaya kecik ja. |
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Sejak aku start keje zaman 2005 lagi dah dengar thai announce nak short cut segenting kra tu.. good luck |
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Author |
Post time 14-6-2021 02:12 AM
From the mobile phone
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green~tea replied at 14-6-2021 12:00 AM
Sejak aku start keje zaman 2005 lagi dah dengar thai announce nak short cut segenting kra tu.. good ...
Landbridge tu sebagai mukadimah pada Kra canal tu lah tuh |
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Author |
Post time 14-6-2021 02:14 AM
From the mobile phone
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dizekni replied at 13-6-2021 09:25 PM
Lingkup habah kau
Potensi ecrl dah dikaji semua sudut
Sudut songlap & sudut sakau? |
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Menyesal x sudah pegi undi PH babi. Klau x, dah separuh jalan ECRL & HSR |
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pyropura replied at 14-6-2021 02:14 AM
Sudut songlap & sudut sakau?
Kuyup mahacai kena kencing
PH janji nak batal ecrl
sekali cuma cadang nak ubah laluan ikut negeri sembilan je
tu pun teruk kena bantah pakar2 perancang awal
dah la lewatkan progres dua tahun
babi punya ph |
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landbridge ni takde kena mengena pun dgn kra canal
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Paling rugi singapore kalau tak silap dalam hal ni..mcm 2 atau 3 tahun lepas lagi singapore dah bising pasal ni |
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Scrap je ECRL. White elephant. Harapkan Mat Budu je acah2 urban....dudok Kay Ell. Bila raya berpusu pusu balik kampong......masa tu penoh la ECRL. Masa lain bawak Unser sumbat 10 orang...nak jimat kos konon. Memang melingkup ECRL |
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